YOU MEAN THEY HAVE ELECTIONS? – OVERNIGHT:  The people of Canada go to a national election Monday.  The election was called by Prime Minister Justin ("he looks like a kid") Trudeau, at a time when a liberal victory looked certain.  But things have changed, and the election results are in doubt.  We hope for an upset conservative victory.  From Global News: 

On Monday morning, millions of Canadians will begin flocking to their nearest polling station to cast their votes.

But with hours left before Election Day, a new poll finds Liberals and Conservatives locked in a dead heat with the latter inching ahead by just one per cent in the national popular vote.

An Ipsos poll of 2,359 Canadians conducted exclusively for Global News showed Conservatives on track to garner 32 per cent of the popular vote, while Liberals went down a point in the polls — projected to receive 31 per cent of the vote.

Darrell Bricker, Ipsos Global Affairs CEO, told Global News that this one per cent would mean a statistical tie for the two parties and another minority government for the Liberals — reminiscent of the results from the 2019 election.

“However, this time around, the Conservatives are winning by less in the prairies and are being helped by the NDP, who are pulling votes from the Liberals in Ontario,” the Ipsos polling read.
“This, combined with a base that seems enthusiastic to vote for O’Toole and his party, could make for a very long night on Monday as the nation waits for results from close races in British Columbia.”

Meanwhile, the New Democrats received 21 per cent in the survey, while the Bloc Quebecois secured seven per cent and the Green Party earned three per cent. But nearly 20 per cent of the Canadians surveyed said they had resigned to not vote this year and refused to share their choice for Canada’s next prime minister, or said they are undecided.

There appears to be generational and gender divides when it comes to party support.

Support for Liberals was highest among women at 33 per cent, while men tended to favour the Conservatives at 37 per cent. Canadians aged 55 and up said they were more likely to lean Conservative, while respondents between the ages of 35 and 54 said they were most likely to support the Liberals. Canadians aged 18-34 said they were most likely to support the NDP.
There is also a tight race among provinces.

In Ontario, the Liberals are polling just four points ahead of Conservatives, at 33 per cent. B.C. respondents leaned Conservative, garnering the party 34 per cent of the vote in the province to the Liberals’ 26 per cent. Meanwhile in Quebec, the Liberals were at a statistical tie with the Bloc Quebecois.

COMMENT:  I make no claim that what happens in Canada will happen here, but it would be encouraging to have a conservative government to our north, especially after President Biden knifed Canada in the back by canceling the Keystone Pipeline on his first day in office. 

September 19, 2021